News | Environment
16 Jan 2026 19:09
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  •   Home > News > Environment

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days

    More large earthquakes are likely over the next 30 days



    Among a slew of earthquakes yesterday were three major ones - including an 8.1 magnitude quake near the Kermadec Islands.

    GNS Science has three future scenarios: the first being there is an up-to 90 per cent chance of more earthquakes.

    Seismologist Matt Gerstenberger says it's likely they will decrease in frequency.

    But he says there is an 80 per cent probability of quakes between magnitude 7 and 7.9.

    Scenario two is only 15 per cent likely to happen, and would see more quakes closer to magnitude 8.

    Scenario three is only one per cent likely - and would see quakes of 8.5 or greater.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

     Other Environment News
     16 Jan: MetService has lifted all severe thunderstorm warnings - but an orange rain alert remains for eastern Bay of Plenty
     16 Jan: The Whakatane, Opotiki and Gisborne districts are the latest to be hit by severe thunderstorms
     15 Jan: Thunderstorms are continuing to move through the North Island bringing heavy rain
     15 Jan: DNA from wolf pup’s last meal reveals new facts about woolly rhino’s extinction
     13 Jan: A sewer leak at a popular Christchurch swimming spot has been traced to bottles being flushed down toilets, blocking the septic system
     13 Jan: No further Queensland fruit flies have been discovered in Auckland's Mt Roskill, following the detection of a single male of the species last week
     12 Jan: Ground crews are working to fully stamp out a large vegetation fire burning in Hawke's Bay
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