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19 Jan 2026 19:06
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  •   Home > News > Business

    It's good news for the economy - but bad news for interest rates

    It's good news for the economy - but bad news for interest rates


    A sharp fall in the last quarter has seen unemployment drop to four percent.

    Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr says employers are screaming for staff and wages are on the rise - suggesting we're near full employment and need to open our borders.

    He believes the Reserve Bank will raise the Official Cash Rate 25 basis points later this month, to half a percent.

    NZ and ANZ are both predicting the OCR will go up three times before the end of the year, to one per cent.

    ANZ's also forecasting two more increases in the first half of next year, to 1.5 per cent.

    © 2026 Newstalk ZB, NZCity

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     Today's News

    Business:
    A word of caution as calls grow to fund weight-management drugs 18:57

    Motoring:
    Tired legs have caught up with New Zealand cyclist Ally Wollaston in the Tour Down Under 18:37

    Business:
    Chocolate products could be in for a shake up - as manufacturers race to develop cocoa alternatives 18:07

    International:
    At least 21 dead after two high-speed trains derailed in Spain 17:57

    International:
    Tensions over Greenland escalate as US threatens tariffs over European troop deployment 17:47

    Lower South Island:
    Tom Sexton has prevailed in a bunch sprint to win the second stage of cycling's Tour of Southland 17:27

    Entertainment:
    Roger Allers, co-director of The Lion King, dies aged 76 17:17

    Health & Safety:
    Any weight loss drug roll out in New Zealand - would need to be done carefully 17:17

    Environment:
    Small Northland communities got the worst of the weekend's flooding, but more is to come 16:57

    Cricket:
    Stand-in captain Michael Bracewell is amazed by the depth the Black Caps are starting to build 16:17


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